Prediction of the top ten technology trends in 2018: Smart cars will usher in a delivery peak, and full-screen penetration will exceed 50%

Editor's note: This article comes fromChina Business News, 36Kr is released with authorization.

5G mobile communication technology opens up diverse application needs

2018 will be the year when the Internet of Things explodes. The number of smart electrical appliance terminals is increasing day by day, providing conditions for the trial of 5G communication networks. As technology giants continue to accelerate the pace of 5G commercialization, the timetable for the release of 5G smartphones is becoming increasingly clear. At the end of the year, Qualcomm officially announced that a 5G modem chipset for mobile terminals successfully achieved 5G data connection, which means that 5G mobile phones have entered the debugging stage. Once 5G is associated with mobile phones that are closely related to our lives, it means that more scenario applications will be possible in the future.

Shared bicycles merge into a high probability event

The stakeholders of shared bicycles are increasingly unclear, including the ecological layout intentions of giants such as Alibaba, Tencent, Didi, etc., as well as the exit and realization considerations of financial investors. However, the founding team holds the desire to develop independently and does not know how long it can persist. ——Hello Bikes, which had not attracted much attention at first, became the darling of capital at the end of the year and became a new variable. They use each other, compromise with each other, and check and balance each other, forming the variables and possibilities for the outcome of shared bicycles. Merger will become a high probability event, the only difference is who merges with whom.

The live broadcast platform knockout competition comes to an end

After Xuanya International's acquisition of Inke failed at the end of 2017, the industry's liquidity encountered new challenges. At the same time, as the dividends of live broadcasting fade, the competition of live broadcasting platforms, although known to burn money, will also enter the final battle.

Digital assets compete with regulators

After ICOs were banned by regulations and listed on futures exchanges, Bitcoin and digital assets experienced a roller coaster ride in 2017. Digital currency has brought many challenges to the existing regulatory system. Risks stem from its cross-border, electronic nature, and lack of identifiable “issuer”. In 2018, the rise of Bitcoin and digital assets will continue to wrestle with regulation.

Full screen penetration rate will exceed 50%

With Apple's iPhone X using AMOLED screens, the application of AMOLED panels on high-end smartphones will accelerate. Although 2017 has entered the full-screen war, full-screen is not a standardized concept. Technically speaking, full-screen displays are still a resource in short supply in the market. Because it has a larger screen-to-body ratio, a full-screen display not only requires special-shaped design, but also uses CNC or laser to perform special-shaped panel cutting. Moreover, the larger the screen-to-body ratio, the smaller the space for wiring inside. In addition, a larger screen-to-body ratio will also put forward new requirements for other components. At the same time, it requires the cooperation of cameras, fingerprint recognition, earpieces, antennas, and equipment manufacturers. It is also a test for brand manufacturers and ODM manufacturers. Their ability to integrate upstream and downstream resources.

Smart cars usher in peak delivery period

Internet car-making companies such as Xpeng and Weilai have successively launched mass-produced cars, and new car-making forces such as Singularity, WM Motor, and Zhengdao are also speeding up, sounding the clarion call for battle. Under the general trend of the automobile industry moving towards electrification, intelligence, interconnection and sharing, the status of traditional automobile companies that have been solid for more than a century has begun to shake. New forces in automobile manufacturing are gradually growing and want to take advantage of the Internet and capital. Forces are reshuffling the automotive industry.

AI with application scenarios will become a key investment target

With the technological advancement of the Internet of Things, big data and artificial intelligence, various applications are becoming more and more mature. The application of artificial intelligence will greatly improve the computing power of smartphones and expand more application scenarios, such as the recognition of portraits, food and other objects. , bringing clearer photography effects and the self-timer background blur function that has been essential for mainstream flagship phones in the past two years. At the same time, there is extensive room for expansion in the financial and medical fields.

New retail continues to penetrate the real economy

On the road of new retail, Alibaba is the earliest and has the most extensive layout of offline physical retail. Since taking a stake in Intime a few years ago, Alibaba has been privatizing Intime Business. Later, it invested in Hema Fresh, Sanjiang Shopping, and cooperated with Bailian Group. Tencent's investment in Yonghui Supermarket is not only to leverage its offline payment advantages. Further consolidating, increasing its own traffic and data, and defending against Alibaba are also important measures for it to test the waters and improve its smart retail plan. If the essence of offline business is the three elements of people, goods, and place (shopping environment), the current implementation effect is more concentrated on the two dimensions of "people" and "place". In the future, new retail will focus on goods, supply chain, The focus behind these will be more obvious in inventory management.

Quantum race upgraded

The world's first quantum science experimental satellite "Mozi" broke the record of quantum teleportation in July 2017. This success brings China to the forefront of long-distance ultra-secure quantum communication technology. In the same year, the world's first quantum secure communication trunk line - the "Beijing-Shanghai Trunk Line" was officially opened. From the United States to Europe, from top scientific research institutions to technology giants, research on quantum technology has been launched in an all-round way, and a new round of technological competition triggered by the quantum revolution is in full swing. Quantum communication has also gradually moved from theoretical conception to practical application.

The mobile payment landscape is undecided, and the central bank, UnionPay, Alipay, and WeChat continue to compete

The central bank issued regulations on barcode payment business, which will be implemented from April 1, 2018. Today, with the rapid development of mobile payment, the rise of mobile payment represented by Alipay has brought about earth-shaking changes in thinking to China's financial industry, including traditional financial forces such as China UnionPay, large state-owned commercial banks, and various small and medium-sized financial institutions. They are all committed to innovation, and the game is far from being resolved.